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Adani Power shares fall 11% in 2 days after a 35% rally. Should you buy the dip?

3 weeks 3 days ago
Shares of Adani Power tumbled for a second straight session on Wednesday, falling as much as 6.7% to Rs 151.55 on the BSE, extending Tuesday’s 6% drop. The two-day slide of 11% comes just after the stock surged 35% in three sessions following a 1:5 stock split, upbeat brokerage coverage, and a regulatory clean chit that briefly sent the shares into a 20% upper circuit.The stock, still up 21% over the past week and 45% in 2025, has faced sharp profit booking after a split-driven liquidity surge. Adani Power turned ex-split this week, a move aimed at making its shares more affordable to retail investors, and jumped 20% on Monday before cooling off.“Adani Power has delivered a sharp move post its stock split, rising nearly 30% in a week and over 55% year-to-date, but the near-term setup looks stretched,” said Harshal Dasani, Business Head at INVasset PMS. Dasani highlighted the RSI near 87 as “deep overbought territory,” adding that while momentum remains bullish, “volatility will remain elevated.”Technical indicators flash warningsThe stock is trading just below its all-time high and remains above all key moving averages, with the MACD still signaling bullish momentum, but the RSI at 76.6 points to overbought conditions. “Immediate resistance is placed around Rs 183–Rs 185,” Dasani said. “A close above this level could extend the rally towards Rs 190–Rs 195, with Rs 200 as a potential stretch target if momentum persists. On the downside, today’s low around Rs 160 acts as the first line of support, followed by a stronger base near Rs 150.”Amruta Shinde, Research Analyst at Choice Broking, noted the stock has formed a rounding bottom pattern and is trading comfortably above its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs. “Immediate support is seen at Rs 150, with a protective follow up around Rs 145, while a sustained move above the key resistance of Rs 180 could open further upside toward the Rs 200–220 range in the near term,” Shinde said.Both analysts cautioned that while the stock split has boosted retail participation, trading volumes, and sentiment, much of the optimism may already be priced in. “The stock’s 20% spike on the ex-split date and subsequent profit booking highlight how crowded positioning has become,” Dasani said. “With YTD gains already substantial, the risk-reward is more favorable for disciplined traders to buy on dips rather than chase fresh breakouts.”Brokerages back long-term growthInvestor excitement has also been stoked by Morgan Stanley’s recent initiation of coverage on Adani Power with an 'Overweight' rating and a price target of Rs 818, projecting revenue of Rs 70,000 crore by FY28 and EBITDA nearly tripling by FY33. The brokerage cited the company’s plan to lift capacity from 18.15 GW today to 41.9 GW by FY32, lifting its coal-based market share from 8% to 15%.Dasani cautioned, however, that execution risks are significant. “Building capacity at this scale requires synchronized environmental clearances, land acquisition, PPA tie-ups, fuel linkages, and supporting evacuation infrastructure,” he said, warning that regulatory delays, discom stress, or rising renewables could cap utilization levels.Valuation premium leaves little room for errorThe stock has re-rated sharply following Sebi’s dismissal of U.S. short-seller Hindenburg Research’s allegations of stock manipulation. “At current levels, valuations are richer than historic averages and trade at a premium to most peers,” Dasani said. “This premium reflects market confidence in Adani Power’s growth trajectory, but it also means the stock now embeds an execution premium that leaves little margin for error.”Shinde said the near-term outlook remains constructive, supported by momentum and structural benefits from the split. Still, Dasani urged caution and said “For investors, accumulating on corrections closer to support levels around Rs 160–Rs 165 may offer a more balanced entry than chasing the stock near resistance while technicals remain overheated.”Also read | YES Bank shares rally 10% in 1 month as Sumitomo ups stake. Analysts eye Rs 25, is it a buy?(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

Congress convenes landmark Patna meeting

3 weeks 3 days ago
The Congress Working Committee (CWC) held a landmark meeting in Patna on September 24, its first in Bihar since Independence, as the party sharpened its focus on the upcoming state assembly elections and mounted a fresh attack on the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) over alleged electoral malpractice."Vote Chori" emerged as a dominant motif of the party's poll strategy structure that took shape at the meeting, and with this, all focus has now shifted to the poll-bound state.The extended session, which brought together permanent and special invitees alongside chief ministers, Pradesh Congress Committee presidents and Legislature Party leaders, began at Sadaqat Ashram in the morning. Party president Mallikarjun Kharge inaugurated the proceedings by unfurling the Congress flag at the state headquarters.Senior figures, including Rahul Gandhi, treasurer Ajay Maken, general secretaries KC Venugopal, Jairam Ramesh and Sachin Pilot and Bihar unit chief Rajesh Kumar, were among those present.The timing and venue of the meeting underscored the centrality of Bihar to the Congress’s immediate political plans. Assembly elections are expected in November, and sources said resolutions were likely to be passed to guide campaign strategy and set the tone for coalition talks with Mahagathbandhan allies.The meeting follows Gandhi’s recent “Voter Adhikar Yatra” and successive press conferences, in which he alleged systematic deletion of Congress votes and accused the Election Commission (EC) of favouring the BJP. These interventions, party insiders said, have energised grassroots workers in the state and brought the issue of electoral fairness to the fore."Vote Chori"The Congress has framed “vote chori” — or vote theft — as a central theme of its campaign. Gandhi, now Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha, has directly accused Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar of shielding those “destroying democracy.”He recently cited examples from a Karnataka assembly constituency to argue that Congress votes were being deliberately removed from rolls.The EC, for its part, dismissed the allegations as “incorrect and baseless.” It is conducting a Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in Bihar, a process the Congress claims is being misused to its disadvantage.The CWC discussions also come as seat-sharing negotiations within the Mahagathbandhan coalition gather pace. Party leaders stressed that the meeting aimed to project unity, send a strong message on the integrity of elections and prepare for what could turn out to be a closely contested battle later this year.
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